Green economics: It just doesn’t add up

Lawrence Solomon
FP Comment
March 31, 2009

A Spanish study found that every green job kills 2.2 jobs elsewhere.

Green jobs will grow the unemployment rolls, concludes a study at Juan Carlos University in Madrid. Every green job created ploughs under 2.2 jobs elsewhere in the economy, and that doesn’t account for the indirect job losses to come of the higher energy prices that accompany green energy technologies: Companies can be counted on to flee this green, or should we say gangrene, economy.

The author of the study, economist Gabriel Calzada, has rich data to mine: Spain has few equals in trying to coerce renewable technologies into the energy marketplace. To bring these immature technologies to market, for example, Spanish regulators lavish Spanish renewable energy producers with payments that can be 11 times greater than those who produce conventional power.

Calzado’s analysis of the green jobs that Spain created since 2000 shows that each green job created cost an average of 571,000 euros, or almost $1-million.

“The money spent by the government cannot, once committed to “green jobs,” be consumed or invested by private parties and therefore the jobs that would depend on such consumption and investment will disappear or not be created,” the study states.

Put another way, government spending on renewable energy is less than half as efficient at job creation as private-sector spending.

The result: Rather than being a boon to Spanish workers, green jobs have been a bane:  Spain’s jobless rate now stands at 14%. The windmill lobby thrived and those windmills whirred, mowing down jobs as never before.

Green jobs based on top-down subsidies are, of course, unsustainable. The Spanish government has recently had to reduce its subsidies to solar by 30%, the green industry is now in retreat, and green jobs, too, are being lost by the tens of thousands. The lesson should be clear to all who care about the environment: Don’t force green technologies to perform before they’ve matured. Be patient and grow the energy economy organically, without artificial subsidies and from the roots up.

Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe and Urban Renaissance Institute and author of The Deniers: The world-renowned scientists who stood up against global warming hysteria, political persecution, and fraud.
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Lawrence Solomon: Green jobs cost jobs

Lawrence Solomon

Green jobs will grow the unemployment rolls, concludes a study at Juan Carlos University in Madrid. Every green job created ploughs under 2.2 jobs elsewhere in the economy, and that doesn’t account for the indirect job losses to come of the higher energy prices that accompany green energy technologies: Companies can be counted on to flee this green, or should we say gangrene, economy.

The author of the study, economist Gabriel Calzada, has rich data to mine: Spain has few equals in trying to coerce renewable technologies into the energy marketplace. To bring these immature technologies to market, for example, Spanish regulators lavish Spanish renewable energy producers with payments that can be 11 times greater than those who produce conventional power.

Calzado’s analysis of the green jobs that Spain created since 2000 shows that each green job created cost an average of 571,000 euros, or almost $1-million. “The money spent by the government cannot, once committed to “green jobs”, be consumed or invested by private parties and therefore the jobs that would depend on such consumption and investment will disappear or not be created,” the study says.

Put another way, government spending on renewable energy is less than half as efficient at job creation as private-sector spending.

The result: Rather than being a boon to Spanish workers, green jobs have been a bane: Spain’s jobless rate now stands at 14%. The windmill lobby thrived and those windmills whirred, mowing down jobs as never before.

Green jobs based on top-down subsidies are, of course, unsustainable. The Spanish government has recently had to reduce its subsidies to solar by 30%, the green industry is now in retreat, and green jobs, too, are being lost by the tens of thousands. The lesson should be clear to all who care about the environment: Don’t force green technologies to perform before they’ve matured. Be patient and grow the energy economy organically, without artificial subsidies and from the roots up.

Lawrence Solomon, March 31, 2009

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Earth Hour power drop sometimes small but event sends green message: organizers

The Canadian Press

March 29, 2009

The energy-saving numbers were crunched Sunday and on paper, it might not look like some provinces did much to mark Earth Hour and yet organizers of the event and hydro providers said the lights-out event was a success in Canada.

Ontario appeared to have one of the largest drops in power consumption. Toronto recorded a 15.1 per cent power drop and a six per cent province-wide dip in electricity use Saturday night between 8:30 p.m. and 8:45 p.m., local time.

To the west, however, Manitoba reported a small spike in electricity use in the 15 minutes after the official start of Earth Hour.

Blame it on Mother Nature. The province is working around the clock to battle the rising waters of the Red River and potentially one of the worst floods in years. And Saturday night, the temperature was sitting around -8 C with a wind chill making it feel like -13 C.

"Obviously, all of us are running our furnaces," Anita Mitchell, a spokeswoman for Manitoba Hydro, said from Winnipeg.

British Columbia, Newfoundland and Labrador and Nova Scotia said there were reports of about a one per cent drop in power consumption, figures that utilities in all three provinces heralded as a success.

Figures from several provincial utility providers were not available Sunday.

Regardless of the numbers, the spirit of Earth Hour is sending the message to decision-makers that the public wants action on climate change, said Keith Stewart of World Wildlife Fund-Canada.

"It’s fun to see how much electricity demand drops… but factors like weather can come into play if it’s a cold night," he said.

Earth Hour, which began in Australia in 2007, grew last year to 400 cities worldwide.

This year, from the Great Pyramids of Egypt to the Colosseum in Rome to the Empire State building in New York, illuminated patches of the globe went dark Saturday. It’s believed nearly 4,000 cities and towns in 88 countries dimmed non-essential lights from 8:30 p.m. to 9:30 p.m.

Across Canada, thousands participated in Earth Hour. A huge crowd gathered at Toronto’s city hall for a free concert as the iconic CN Tower slipped into darkness.

On the East Coast, about 250 people gathered as gathered on Halifax’s Grand Parade to watch Mayor Peter Kelly turn off the city hall’s lights.

In Regina, the lights were dimmed at the Saskatchewan legislature, one of the most recognizable buildings in the province.

Several Vancouver landmarks switched off, including the Science World dome and city hall.

The timing this year’s Earth Hour is critical, environmental activists said, as leaders met Sunday in Bonn, Germany to start crafting a successor to the Kyoto Accord. The climate change discussion are due to culminate in Copenhagen, Denmark in December.

In Bonn, the United Nations’ top climate official, Yvo de Boer, called Earth Hour a clear sign that the world wants negotiators seeking a climate change agreement to set an ambitious course to fight global warming.

"Earth Hour was probably the largest public demonstration on climate change ever," de Boer told delegates from 175 nations.

"Its aim was to tell every government representative to seal a deal in Copenhagen. The world’s concerned citizens have given the negotiations an additional and very clear mandate."

Some environmentalists, however, panned the event, saying Earth Hour sends the wrong message.

"It’s a terrible idea," said Lawrence Solomon, executive director of Energy Probe.

"It is telling us that conservation means sitting in the dark, doing without."

Conservation is not supposed to bring hardship, rather it should convince people to use energy more wisely, Solomon said.

-With files from The Associated Press

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Vampire hour

Lawrence Solomon
FP Comment
March 28, 2009

The every-little-bit-counts crowd behind Earth Hour doesn’t understand the bigger human picture

In the 1970s, when environmentalists like me first began to make headway in touting the benefits of energy conservation (or energy efficiency, as it was also known), our adversaries in the energy industries countered with accusations that conservation meant “freezing in the dark.” We won the debate by showing that energy efficiency improvements didn’t mean hardship, that improved insulation in buildings, computer controls on industrial processes and electricity meters that gave consumers superior information would not only economically replace the need for energy production but also improve the quality of life.

That was then. Now mainstream environmentalists such as World Wildlife Fund and Greenpeace are making the energy industry’s case for it through campaigns like Earth Hour — the annual event at which we literally sit in the dark and shut down society to the maximum extent feasible. Continue reading

Posted in Electricity, Energy Probe News | 2 Comments

Lawrence Solomon: Darwin vs the climate change modeller

For a delightful perspective on the global warming controversy, replete with insightful historical anecdotes, I commend you to William Happer’s testimony yesterday before the U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee.

I especially enjoyed Happer’s description of Charles Darwin’s exchange with the great physicist, William Thompson, who later became Lord Kelvin and is best known to us today for developing the Kelvin temperature scale.

Darwin’s science was based on careful observation, Kelvin’s on precise mathematical models. In the joust between the two, Darwin’s qualitative conclusions were no match for Kelvin’s formulas, which proved that the Sun was no more than 30 million years old, and that life on Earth could not possibly have evolved over the hundreds of millions of relatively stable years, as Darwin held. Darwin, mocked and cowed, revised later editions of the “Origin of the Species” to remove references to the age of Earth to and conform to the scientific consensus of the day.

Happer, a celebrated Princeton physicist, writes clearly and sensibly. You won’t find a more entertaining summary of the issues concerning global warming than his testimony.

Read the full text of Happer’s testimony

Read more about Lawrence Solomon

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Global Warming ‘Realists’ Meet in New York

Jack Dini
Hawaii Reporter
March 11, 2009

We’ve all heard about carbon dioxide and its effect on temperature world-wide. But have you heard that temperature increases first, then hundreds or more years later carbon dioxide levels rise? My guess is probably not. A children’s book with a mislabeled graph shows temperature following carbon dioxide; a leading science journal took over ten years to set the record straight; Al Gore blames carbon dioxide. Yet, there has been no temperature increase in the last nine years in spite of increasing carbon dioxide levels. Clearly, we need to find another culprit.

Earth isn’t the only heavenly body that’s been heating up. The polar ice caps on Mars are melting. Jupiter is developing a second giant red spot, an enormous hurricane-like storm thought to be the result of warming in our solar system. Neptune’s moon Triton has heated up significantly since 1989. Parts of its frozen nitrogen surface have begun melting and turning to gas. Even Pluto has warmed slightly in recent years if you can call -230C warmer than -233C.

The question has been asked, is there something all these heavenly bodies have in common? Some one thing they all share that could be causing them to warm in unison, like a giant self-luminous ball of burning gas with a mass more than 300,000 times that of Earth and a core temperature of more than 20 million degrees C, that for the past century has been unusually powerful and active? Hmm- perhaps the Sun should be taking more of the blame for increasing temperatures in the entire solar system.

What about temperature measuring stations? When the Soviet Union was falling apart from 1989 to 1992 folks there didn’t much care about keeping temperature monitoring stations. Thousands were ignored and it’s important to note that many of these were in cold regions-think Siberia. Others around the world were closed at the same time. Could this have contributed to the world-wide temperature increases in the 1990s?

Here in the United States we aren’t that great about keeping our weather monitoring stations in proper order. Anthony Watts, and his team of volunteers, have been checking the condition and placement of weather stations. They’ve now checked 75% of the 1221 United States stations and find only 11% meet standards. The concern is that objects near a station affect what thermometers record. Buildings, parking lots, air conditioners, and sewage treatment plants near weather stations may emit heat and ultimately skew readings.

All of this information and much more was covered at the Second International Conference on Climate Change hosted by the Heartland Institute and 60 cosponsoring organizations in New York City, March 8-10. Nearly 700 attendees from around the world heard opening remarks from Heartland Institute President Joseph Bast and keynote addresses from Vaclav Klaus, president of the Czech Republic and of the European Union, and Richard Lindzen of MIT. Other keynote speakers included John H. Sununu, former governor of New Hampshire and chief of staff under President George H. W. Bush, US Congressman Tom McClintock (R-Calif.), Lawrence Solomon, author of The Deniers, and Willie Soon, chief science advisor at the Science and Public Policy Institute.

More than 80 presentations were available to attendees during the meeting. My only complaint as an attendee was that with four concurrent break-out sessions at all times, I missed many speakers I would have liked to hear. Fortunately, a lot of material was available in the form of hand-outs and books.

Although some of these folks have been labeled Holocaust deniers, skeptics, and other foul-sounding names, these were serious scientists with data that should be more open to the public. Jay Lehr suggests that these folks should no longer be labeled skeptics, but instead called Realists. I couldn’t agree more.

Jack Dini was a materials engineer and Section Leader at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. He is a past national president of the American Electroplaters and Surface Finishers Society, author of more than 250 papers on electrodeposition and the book, Electrodeposition: the Materials Science of Coatings and Substrates. Since 1998 he has been writing a monthly column titled “Fact or Fiction?” for Plating and Surface Finishing (P&SF). He has also written for the American Council on Science and Health, Environment & Climate News (The Heartland Institute) and Hawaii Reporter. His book, Challenging Environmental Mythology, was published in 2003. Reach him at jdini@comcast.net

Read more about the Heartland Institute’s Second International Conference on Climate Change

Read more about Lawrence Solomon, Energy Probe’s Executive Director and a keynote speaker at this year’s Heartland Conference

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Sen. Barbara Boxer’s signature issue of climate change legislation ignores what is really happening in the world now

Larry Wilhelmsen
The Desert Sun
March 10, 2009

A growing number of the world’s very best scientists who are not being paid by the government are now stepping forward with the truth. The computer models suggesting extreme warming rates due to carbon dioxide should not be used for environmental policy because they do not now give consistent results. They have not predicted the stop in global temperature rise since 1998 nor the slight cooling of the ocean since 2001. Who are these scientists?

Please read Lawrence Solomon’s book “The Deniers” published in April 2008. He has interviewed more than 30 scientists for the book and has an inventory of more than 100 interviews now.
Global warming rebuttal

The 2009 International Conference on Climate Change is being held in New York City through today, with nearly 60 speakers and more than 30 sponsors from around the world.

The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) has published an independent examination without bias and selectivity of the evidence available in peer-reviewed literature. The report, “Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate,” can be accessed at http://www.heartland.org.

Fear is being used to push many issues not well understood. Read Michael Crichton’s book “State of Fear” to get many examples.
Nuclear power option

A few nuclear accidents around the world stopped the U.S. development of nuclear power, and we are paying for that now. The Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station in Arizona was set up for 10 plants but was stopped at three. They produce power at under 3 cents per kilowatt hour and solar is now about five times that. Wind power can at best produce 20 percent of U.S. electricity, and that is after a very expensive distribution system.

If the nuclear development had not been stopped, the need for Middle Eastern oil would be significantly less and high oil costs may not have contributed to the present economic meltdown. This cheap, steady electricity would have many people now buying electric cars to charge at night and significantly reduce the smog threat in Los Angeles.

The co-founder of Greenpeace, Patrick Moore, changed his views and now supports nuclear power as the best way to reduce carbon emissions. The Democrats removed the $50 billion set for nuclear power when they trimmed down the stimulus bill for passage.

Solomon’s last chapter covers the pitfalls of the cap and trade movement for control of carbon emissions, and his experience around the world indicates it is a very bad policy easily open to fraud. Do a search of the New York Times for a few examples.

If we do not use natural gas, oil, coal and nuclear power to span the gap to when the solar and wind sources are practical, we will not keep up with China. At least that country is smart enough to limit its population growth while our government continues to pay people to have more kids even when it knows they cannot support them.

Larry Wilhelmsen lives in Indio. Reach him at lwilhelmsen1@yahoo.com.

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Heartland Update: A Californian and an Environmentalist

The Heritage Foundation
March 9, 2009

This morning’s breakfast had two very interesting speakers: climate skeptic Congressman Tom McClintock from California and Canadian author, columnist and environmentalist Lawrence Solomon. Solomon is a founder and managing director of the Energy Probe Research Foundation and is a strong advocate of renewable energy and written a book against urban sprawl.

When Congressman McClintock addressed the audience he emphasized
that the actual threat of global warming is a big one, but not because
of temperature and more so because of what the radical environmentalist
movement can do to control the message and hurt the economy. He
discussed the detrimental economic and environmental effects that the
state’s ethanol policy had on California and warned that California
should not be the model for the rest of the country.

He said:

People love to watch events in California – in much the
same way that people love to gawk at car wrecks. You feel guilty about
it, of course, and you know you shouldn’t stare, but you just can’t
help yourselves. But you do anyway and there’s at least a respectable
reason for it. When you drive by that wreck, you can tell your
children, ‘Kids, that’s what happens when you don’t pay attention when
you drive.’ And California’s wreck is a good time to remind voters,
‘Kids, that’s what happens when you don’t pay attention when you vote.”

The quote drew a resounding applause.

Solomon, a man of sincere intellectual integrity, noted that the
environmentalist radicals in the global warming movement are starting
to fear that they will lose all credibility under a bunch of scenarios.
1.) We will enter a period of global cooling. 2.) People will not stand
for the economic effects of a carbon tax. 3.) There will be rolling
brown outs and black outs as a result of inefficient electricity supply
coming from wind and solar energy. Just as a reminder, this is coming
from an environmentalist in support of renewable technology.

Perhaps the most intriguing part of Soloman’s speech was his telling
stories of the damage international carbon reducing plans are doing to
the developing world. Rather than reducing carbon-generating sources of
energy at home, many developed countries are buying carbon credits from
hydro dams. These governments will displace citizens from their homes
without much warning or compensation.

See, for instance, this January story by Joe McDonald and Charles J. Hanley, Associated Press writers:

“The hydroelectric dam, a low wall of concrete slicing
across an old farming valley, is supposed to help a power company in
distant Germany contribute to saving the climate – while putting
lucrative “carbon credits” into the pockets of Chinese developers.

But in the end the new Xiaoxi dam may do nothing to lower
global-warming emissions as advertised. And many of the 7,500 people
displaced by the project still seethe over losing their homes and
farmland.

‘Nobody asked if we wanted to move,” said a 38-year-old man whose
family lost a small brick house. ‘The government just posted a notice
that said, ‘Your home will be demolished.’”

Now, just imagine if we ask these developing nations to cut their
own emissions. Carbon trading schemes among the developing world is
already hurting these countries. A global plan to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions will de-develop the developed world and halt and reverse any
economic progress made by the developing world.

That should certainly open up some eyes and ears of politicians.

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Gangreen energy act

Lawrence Solomon
FP Comment
March 7, 2009

Ontario’s new energy plan heavily subsidizes green energy projects at the expense of conservation

Ontario’s Green Energy Act should more accurately be called Ontario’s Gangreen Act.

No piece of legislation in memory will do more to simultaneously undermine Ontario’s economy and environment. This one act rolls back decades of environmental gains in the energy sphere and opens the door to a future of environmental outrages.

All forms of energy supply have environmental drawbacks, including the much touted renewables; hydro dams can damage river ecosystems, solar arrays can consume large amounts of land, wind farms kill birds and bats. The environmental drawbacks are then compounded by the need to deliver the energy to market over great distances; underground pipeline construction for oil and gas does mostly temporary harm and transmission towers for electricity leave permanent blights. For such reasons, the traditional energy preference of environmentalists has been conservation, by far the most benign of all the energy alternatives.

Two other factors make conservation or energy efficiency, as conservation is also known, a hands-down winner: The untapped potential for savings remains phenomenally large and these savings can be had at low cost, if only governments allowed conservation technologies to compete on a level playing field against their energy supplying and energy consuming competitors. Because governments have steadily been removing subsidies as part of the economic liberalization that has gone on over the last few decades – tar sands plants, mega dams, nuclear plants and the automobile are among the many that saw their government favours erode – conservation has made steady gains.

The Green Act undermines the advance of conservation by making renewable energy, particularly wind power, the enemy of conservation.

Under Ontario’s Green Act, energy developers are entitled to build wind farms without need to consider whether a conservation technology alternative could do the job at less cost. The subsidy to wind development companies is so high, in fact, that Ontario consumers will be forced by law to pay these developers up to three times as much per kilowatt-hour as they do for other forms of energy. This direct state-sanctioned gouging of electricity consumers will then be augmented by the indirect gouging of consumers.

The Green Act allows wind developers to stake out the province, including remote parts of the province, and demand that the power from their wind turbines be transported to distant markets via massive transmission corridors all at public expense. In the past, environmentalists have rallied to stop uneconomic long-distance transmission corridors, aided by the many affected communities. These corridors slice through rich farm belts, pristine forests and wilderness areas, cottage country, rural communities and finally urban centres, creating grievances along their entire path.

In future, such opposition from affected communities will be knee-capped, partly because the Green Act denies communities their long-standing rights to public participation in projects that affect their local environments, partly because many environmentalists have switched sides in opposing transmission towers. To further worsen the odds that local communities now face, corporate lobbies in the renewable energy business, many of them multinationals, back both the environmentalists and the government, and fund both too.

The environmentalists are content with this bargain, unmoved by those whose properties will be expropriated. Or by those who live adjacent to the transmission corridor, whose quality of life will be devalued by their unsightly new neighbour. Or by those who work in the eco-tourism business or other industries that depend on unspoiled nature. They argue that these costs are necessary for the greater good. (The environmentalists may be less content in future – this precedent that they’ve created can just as easily be applied to squelch the public’s rights in opposing the siting of a nuclear or coal plant, or any other project that environmentalists might oppose.)

Environmentalists will argue that the Green Act is good for conservation, because of the acts provisions for home energy audits and utility conservation targets. In fact, the Green Act has put conservation in a box, capping its potential to the trickle that will come of a few high-profile sectors, for which government conservation programs can be devised. Meanwhile, the gushers of potential conservation in the greater economy – virtually every product and service involves the consumption of energy – are left to languish. The only way to encourage across the board energy conservation, and obtain the massive reductions in energy consumption that are economically justified, is to stop subsidizing energy in all its forms and force society to face the true cost of energy.

Even the energy savings from the government’s targeted conservation programs are likely to backfire and actually spur wasteful consumption – this is the sorry history of government-mandated conservation programs. And to complete the wrong-headedness of the Green Act, its chief objective, the replacement of fossil fuel use with renewables, will fail miserably. Because the wind doesnt always blow and the sun doesn’t always shine, every kilowatt of wind capacity that is built in some remote part of the province will need to be backed up by almost as much fossil fuel power.

Read Lawrence Solomon’s bio

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Skeptics Unite!

Paul Chesser
The American Spectator
March 5, 2009

Don’t expect to hear much from the mainstream media about it, but the Heartland Institute’s second International Conference on Climate Change starts this Sunday and runs through Tuesday. A Who’s-Who of reputable, well-credentialed (and/or well-studied) skeptics (such as Energy Probe’s Lawrence Solomon) will meet in New York City to debunk, debate, and ferret out the truth about the science and economics of global warming alarmism.

Read Paul Chesser’s full blog to learn more about the conference

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