Pak to set up two more nuclear power plants

The Times of India
July 12, 2002

KARACHI — In an effort to augment its nuclear power capacity, Pakistan is set to add two more units to its existing nuclear power plants.

Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) is working on a plan to set up one unit each at its nuclear power plants at Karachi and Mianwali in Punjab, commission’s chairman Pervez Butt said on Thursday.

“In order to keep up with the global trend of using nuclear power and to increase the country’s power generating capacity, the PAEC is working on a plan to establish a second unit at site of Chashma Nuclear Power Plan (CHASNUPP) in Mianwali and another at the Karachi Nuclear Power Plan, (KANUPP) site, which would be called K2,” he said at the 7th convocation of the KANUPP Institute of Nuclear Power Engineering (KINPOE).

Compared to the 16 per cent share of nuclear power in the global power generation, he said Pakistan’s nuclear plants accounted for three per cent of the power production in the country.

He said KANUPP was nearing the end of its design life, but there were plans to extend its by 12 to 15 years.

He said the PAEC wanted to build a plant bigger than the combined capacity of KANUPP and CHASNUPP soon.

 

Posted in Nuclear Economics | Tagged | Leave a comment

Reactor safety inspection to be privatized

Paul Waldie
Globe and Mail
July 11, 2002

Ontario Power Generation is negotiating a deal to privatize safety analysis at its nuclear reactors.

“We are in negotiations with a company called NNC related to potential business opportunities,” Ontario Power spokesman John Earl said yesterday. “It basically is in regard to a group in OPG that does safety analysis work.”

NNC Ltd. is Britain’s leading nuclear consultant and it is affiliated with British Energy.

The move to contract out safety analysis has raised concerns among some nuclear consultants.

“I think it’s extremely worrisome if OPG is losing its direct control over nuclear safety,” said David Martin, a nuclear safety consultant with the Sierra Club of Canada. “When you start to divorce financial decision making from safety-related decision making, that could lead to problems.”

OPG is one of the largest nuclear plant operators in North America. It manages 12 reactors, including four at the Pickering A plant that were shut down in 1997 because of safety concerns. Reopening that plant has been delayed until 2003 and will cost as much as $2-billion, about 54 per cent more than planned.

OPG has about 300 engineers who perform safety analysis. They carry out tests and computer simulations to see how reactors would respond to accidents. Sources say the group has been reorganized internally under the name Newco in preparation to be sold.

OPG also operates 69 hydroelectric plants and six fossil-fuel plants. In total, it produces 85 per cent of Ontario’s electricity.

OPG also owns eight reactors at the Bruce station but it has leased operation of them to British Energy. NNC is working with British Energy to restart four of the Bruce reactors that were also shut down because of safety concerns.

An official at NNC declined to comment on the OPG negotiations.

Mr. Earl would not say when a deal will be reached or how much it would cost.

“Before OPG could conclude any agreement with NNC, the [Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission] would have to be satisfied that OPG would continue to meet its safety requirements,” Mr. Earl said.

A deal with NNC would be the latest in a series of restructuring moves by OPG. The company has contracted out its computer operations and has announced plans to cut 2,000 jobs, or 17 per cent of its work force, over the next two years.

Mr. Martin said Britain’s nuclear regulator has raised concerns about contracting out by British Energy.

“The ongoing concern of the regulator in Britain has been that areas of important managerial control are being contracted out and they have deemed that to be unacceptable,” he said. British Energy “has been pushing the envelope. Obviously, OPG is copying that managerial style.”

Michel Cleroux, a spokesman for the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission, said the commission is aware of OPG’s plans.

“Having [safety analysis] done by someone to whom you contract the analysis is something that’s done quite frequently in other countries,” he said. “The analysis [reports] are what are used to determine safe operating limits within which safe operations are carried out. Operating within the limits continues to be [OPG’s] responsibility.”

Tom Adams, who heads Energy Probe, said the move is dramatic and will raise some concerns.

“There is nothing wrong in principle with having some of the safety analysis done outside,” Mr. Adams said. “The key issues are contractual in nature and ensuring that OPG can retain access to the necessary expertise.”

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Meters obsolete

Glen N. Tolhurst
Toronto Star
July 10, 2002

Click here to read Tom Adams’ letter, “Clear away barriers for smart electricity meters.”

Letter to the Editor
Re: Clear away barriers for smart electricity meters, July 8.

In his letter, Tom Adams of Energy Probe brought to light the lack of effort by electrical utilities (other than Milton Hydro) to truly serve their customers in the 21st century.

The use of obsolete electro-mechanical meters with the rotating disk and dials allows the utilities to bill customers based on an average price of electricity. Surely, in this age of microprocessor technology, there is the ability, if not the drive, to design and build a low-cost, solid-state consumption meter to permit the customer to plan off-peak power usage and to be billed for actual, time-of-day-based usage.

There must be a Canadian company that could step up to the plate to profitably build and market such a device.

Glen N. Tolhurst

Guelph

 

Posted in Electricity | Leave a comment

Clear away barriers for smart electricity meters

Tom Adams
Toronto Star
July 8, 2002

Re: No incentive to conserve energy, Editorial, July 4.

Kudos to the Star for speaking up in favour of more intelligent electricity meters. Smart meters capable of keeping up with continuously changing spot prices are the front line of customer protection in Ontario’s new electricity market.

Some utilities are making great strides upgrading to smart meters. One leader is Milton Hydro, where all customers using more than 100 kilowatts have been upgraded.

Before ordering utilities to upgrade meters, we should recognize that with existing technology the extra cost of smart meters over conventional meters will not be justified for every customer.

Substantial institutional barriers to smart meters exist. Measurement Canada, the federal meter regulator, imposes far more cumbersome rules on smart meters than on the obsolete ones households now use.

The Ontario Energy Board’s cost recovery rules for distribution utilities also create additional hurdles for utilities and customers seeking to upgrade meters.

Consumers need a public agency, like the Ministry of Energy or the Independent Electricity Market Operator, to champion the cause of smart meters and clear away the institutional barriers impeding modernization.

Tom Adams
Executive Director, Energy Probe
Toronto

Posted in Power Generation in Ontario | Leave a comment

Weapons-grade uranium available in Canada

Tom Adams

June 28, 2002

Dear Concerned Citizen:

Experts in nuclear weapons recognize that by far the most difficult step in building a bomb like the one that destroyed Hiroshima is acquiring sufficient weapons-grade material.

Yet a private Canadian multinational, MDS Nordion, has stockpiled almost two nuclear bombs’ worth of the material near Ottawa. And this company is trying to import enough from the U.S. to more than double its stockpile.

MDS – a medical supplier – likes to use weapons-grade uranium instead of other materials that are not attractive to terrorists and rogue states because it is convenient and profitable. As it said in 1999, “switching to safer, low-enriched uranium fuel would be too costly and too troublesome.” Some of MDS’s commercial competitors have installed or are installing modified processes that do not require the use of the nuclear-bomb ingredients.

Blinded by its commercial interests, MDS has failed to recognize its contribution to the risk of nuclear arms proliferation and global terrorism. When asked recently by the Ottawa Citizen about Canadian and U.S. watchdog groups’ concerns, a corporate vice president said, “It would be the first time that I’ve ever heard that Canada is a proliferation threat.”

To our disappointment, Canada’s government is less concerned about the proliferation implications of trafficking in weapons-grade uranium than the U.S. government. While the U.S. government has been trying to phase out commerce in weapons-grade uranium, our federal government’s own Atomic Energy of Canada is building two new reactors and a processing facility north of Ottawa on behalf of MDS that are designed to use the convenient but dangerous substance. These projects are proceeding poorly. AECL has experienced serious safety problems, delays, and cost overruns. One reactor was started up briefly, only to be shut down for extensive testing and renovation following a failed safety test. The other reactor has yet to be brought on line.

The delay in starting these reactors creates an opportunity to convert to a safer process that does not rely on weapons-grade uranium. If MDS is not forced to discontinue its commerce in weapons-grade uranium soon, it will be more expensive to convert to a safer system once the two new reactors are fully radioactive and the processing facility becomes contaminated.

There is a growing international consensus that to reduce risks to international security, reliance on weapons-grade uranium in research reactors, test reactors, and isotope production reactors should be eliminated. Canada is one of the last nations to engage in international trafficking in weapons-grade uranium.

If you agree that we should stop putting profits ahead of public safety, please contact Canada’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Bill Graham, and urge him to bring Canada into line with international efforts to cease all use of, and commerce in, weapons-grade uranium (see contact information, below).

And please consider a generous donation to Energy Probe. We are working with other citizens’ groups around the world to stop all production, stockpiling, and trafficking in weapons-grade material. Your tax-creditable, charitable donation will support us in this cause.

Yours sincerely,

Tom Adams
Executive Director

 

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Zoned hydro rates proposed for Ontario

Joan Walters
Toronto Star/Torstar News Service
June 27, 2002

Ontario consumers would pay different power prices across the province in a zoned rate system being considered for the new electricity market.

The proposal – being pushed by the big private energy companies now operating in Ontario — would see a new pricing system that charges consumers according to where they live.

The suggestion that Ontarians in the north or rural areas might pay different rates than consumers in cities and suburbs led to a barrage of protests by public power advocates yesterday.

“This essentially means that the one-price system we’ve always had, the system that says we’re all equal citizens of Ontario, would be gone,” said NDP Leader Howard Hampton. “It means some consumers should be prepared to get whacked over the head.”

Few details on how zoned pricing would actually work have been made available by the Independent Electricity Market Operator (IMO), which is studying how to implement the zones.

Called “locational marginal pricing,” the system would differ dramatically from the uniform base rate that everyone in Ontario pays now.

“It hasn’t been fleshed out other than being an idea that needs to be explored and eventually implemented,” said Ted Gruetzner of the IMO.

“In simple terms, it means the price of energy could differ from place to place, depending on the cost of delivering it.”

Energy Minister Chris Stockwell’s office said the government has not decided whether it supports the concept, which has been studied since 1998.

“The IMO is still gathering data and deciding whether they will be going ahead,” said aide Diana Arajs.

But earlier this year, 80 major market players told a planning session organized by the IMO that zoned pricing was a top priority. They wanted it pushed hard, and implemented fast.

Tom Adams of Energy Probe, who was at that meeting, believes new pricing is the right step in ensuring a well operated, orderly market for Ontario.

“The system we have now is what’s referred to as a postage-stamp system,” Adams said. “It costs the same to put a stamp on an envelope to Vancouver as to send it across the street. That system is attractive from a social welfare point of view but it’s unattractive from an economic efficiency point of view.”

Zones might not take effect for a year to 16 months, the IMO said.

But the proposal is relevant now because about a million households have already signed fixed-price electricity contracts for three to five years, agreements which retailers now say would have to change if price zones arrive.

Union Energy Inc., which took over Ontario Hydro Energy Services in April, is already telling customers it may need to alter fixed-rate contracts if the IMO changes how prices are set.

The Ontario Energy Board is reviewing the terms of those 200,000 contracts for possible violations of the provincial energy retailing code.

And Union Energy has given customers an opportunity to get out of the contracts, within certain time limits outlined in notices sent this week.

Paul Kahnert of the Ontario Electricity Coalition, a public power group, said zone prices are outrageous.

“Under public power, your prices were uniform no matter where you lived,” Kahnert said. “Suddenly we’re looking at something where you get penalized for where you live.”

In American states where zones exist, rates generally are highest where it is most difficult to deliver power.

In New York, with 11 zones, Manhattan and Long Island have the highest prices because of congestion on transmission lines, and because they are most distant from power sources.

“It’s actually hardest to move power in the New York City area,” says Steve Sullivan of the New York Independent System Operator, the state’s equivalent to Ontario’s IMO.

New York has an open market with rates that fluctuate daily, like Ontario’s. Prices are set by bidding, as in Ontario.

In Ontario, it is thought that prices would be lowest in zones closest to the province’s major power sources, which are largely in urban southern Ontario, including Pickering, Darlington, Niagara Falls and the Golden Horseshoe.

Gruetzner, the IMO spokesperson, said it is important to note no studies have been done yet to see which parts of Ontario would have which rates.

Posted in Reforming Ontario's Local Electrical Distribution Sector | Leave a comment

Winter blackouts possible: Energy Probe

Richard Brennan
Toronto Star
October 25, 2002

“I think Ontario has now got a risk of blackout, possibly as early as this winter,” said Tom Adams, executive director of the industry watchdog group, “but next summer looks very dicey as well.”

Adams was reacting in part to news the start-up of the first of four Pickering A nuclear reactor units, expected by year’s end, will be delayed by as much as eight months. The four units, out of service since 1997 because of safety and reliability concerns, are considered a key part of Ontario’s power system.

“The electricity system is in a crisis . . . because we bet heavily on the restart of Pickering A . . . and now with Pickering A missing we’ve got nothing there to fill the gap,” he said.

Liberal MPP Sean Conway (Renfrew Nipissing Pembroke) told the Legislature yesterday a “very reliable source” within Ontario Power Generation informed him of the delays, which he says will lead to huge increases in electricity costs.

“I have been told . . . that we can expect only one of the four units at Pickering A available in the calendar year 2003,” Conway said. “The three remaining units at Pickering A . . . are not likely to be available . . . until at least 2004 and perhaps, in some cases, as late as 2005.”

OPG is to detail the return to service in its third quarter report expected next week, a spokesperson said yesterday.

Conway said the project is as much as $2 billion over budget.

Energy Minister John Baird told the Legislature he is “not happy” the project is behind schedule and over budget.

Meanwhile, the Canadian Institute for Environmental Law and Policy filed a complaint under the federal Competition Act yesterday, saying Ontario is unfairly subsidizing traditional power sources at the expense of green power. The group says it’s tough for wind power to get on the grid when it costs at least 50 per cent more than other sources of electricity.

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Climate change theory ca. 1887

Lawrence Solomon
National Post
June 24, 2002

In the last half of the 19th century, conventional wisdom in North America held that the climate in the Prairies – the vast lands that comprise much of the continent – was changing. In the United States and Canada, tens of governments, thousands of businesses and hundreds of thousands of individuals spent fortunes in line with this wisdom – the only time in human history that great sums were spent in anticipation of climate change.

The conventional wisdom was wrong. The fortunes were lost. Even worse, it took us down a path that led to North America’s greatest environmental disaster of the 20th century, and to staggering social costs that still bedevil us today.

Before the climate change theories came into vogue more than a century ago, settlements had stopped at the Prairie’s edge. Everyone knew that the arid lands – dubbed the Great American Desert – could not be farmed. But for several years, above-average rainfall blessed large parts of the Prairies, fostering wishful theories that allowed people to think that the climate had changed, and with it the rules of agriculture. The most popular climate change theory held that “rain follows the plow,” as if areas received rain because they were farmed, and not the other way around. Under this belief, which many scientists soundly endorsed, plowing exposed the soil’s moisture to the sky. “It is the great increase in the absorptive power of the soil, wrought by cultivation, that has caused, and continues to cause an increasing rainfall in the State,” explained University of Nebraska scientist Samuel Aughey. With the soil broken, rain is absorbed “like a huge sponge.” Evaporation from the soil then increases rainfall.

Others theorized that the new transcontinental trains were stirring the atmosphere and changing the flow of moisture, letting rains fall in the Prairies that otherwise would have travelled further east. The staid Army and Navy Journal attributed the rains to the railroad having altered the atmosphere’s electrical condition. In accepting yet another climate change theory, The Nation stated in 1887 that the entire Prairies “will within a few years enjoy a rainfall sufficient to admit of raising crops without any considerable degree of artificial irrigation.”

The wishful theories suited the politics of the day. Governments on both sides of the border were determined to encourage settlements on the Prairies, as were the railroads and developers eager to cash in on these government policies. It would take decades before the mad theories were put to rest, partly because scientists who dissented from the conventional wisdom were finally heard, mostly because the Prairies reverted to their historic, arid state. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s 1896 Yearbook of Agriculture soberly concluded that “farmers have deluded themselves with the belief that with the breaking of soil . . . and bringing civilization, the climate was becoming more favorable to their operations.” The U.S. Geological Survey found that “fruitless and demoralizing movements of population” into the Prairies were occurring on the mistaken belief that “a radical change of climate” was taking place.

By then, much of the Prairies was overpopulated, creating vested interests to maintain farmers on land that could not safely sustain them. In his Report on the Arid Lands of North America, John Wesley Powell, perhaps the most prominent scientist of his day, recommended policies that would have slashed the farm population to one-sixteenth that planned, to avoid overpopulation.

He was ignored. Other theories that justified farming the desert arose, the theories spread like wildfire through government and farm lobby organizations, and settlers kept coming in droves. At the turn of the century, Stephen Leacock wrote in his history of Canada, two million people left Europe for the New World, the Prairies the destination for many of them.

The land could stand the strain for only so long. Residents of the northern Prairies would pay the consequences in a severe drought that hit between 1917 and 1921. Many farms failed then, but the worst was yet to come. The settlement of the Prairies soon produced the Dust Bowl, an unprecedented environmental disaster. With the native grasses plowed under for crop cultivation, and with intensive cultivation reducing the size of soil particles, the soil became dust when drought and high temperatures lowered the soil’s moisture. Winds then stripped areas of Saskatchewan and Alberta entirely of topsoil.

The first of the great dust storms swept across the northern plains in 1933. A May, 1934, dust storm that started in Montana carried some 350 million tons of soil toward the East Coast. Others were equally severe. The storms lasted until 1940.

The Prairie weather hadn’t changed, after all. But the Prairies have. Still overpopulated, and potent politically, if not economically, Prairie residents remain dependent on government payments for their sustenance, and delude themselves into thinking of droughts, rather than rain, as the exceptions. In 1690, the first European explorer in the Canadian Prairies, Henry Kelsey of the Hudson’s Bay Company, called the Prairies “barren ground.” So it was and so it will remain, as long as Prairie policies continue to be based on fictions.

Posted in Costs, Benefits and Risks | Leave a comment

Week’s events forecast energy’s future

Lisa Hrabluk
Saint John Telegraph-Journal
June 19, 2002

The ties that bind government to energy markets are beginning to loosen.

Yesterday in Saint John, Fredericton and Washington, D.C., things happened that will change how New Brunswickers buy, sell and use energy in the years to come.

Things got started in the Delta Brunswick Hotel’s ballroom in Saint John’s uptown, where lawyers for NB Power and Atomic Energy of Canada Limited came face-to-face with an old nemesis – Tom Adams, the executive director of Energy Probe, a Toronto-based consumer advocacy group that has long fought the forces of nuclear power.

His opposition to NB Power is two-fold; he wants the utility to get rid of Point Lepreau and he wants the New Brunswick government to rid itself of NB Power and its $2.9-billion debt.

Lawyers for AECL and NB Power spent about an hour trying to discredit Mr. Adams and his opinions during his morning appearance before the Public Utilities Board as it prepared to wrap up hearings to examine the Point Lepreau application.

They pointed out he isn’t from New Brunswick, that no one from the province sits on Energy Probe’s board and that – horrors of horrors – he’d be against nuclear power regardless of how much a retrofit would cost.

“If Point Lepreau could be refurbished for nothing, you’d still be opposed to it,” said NB Power lawyer David Hashey.

 

But in reality, it doesn’t matter whether Mr. Hachey and AECL lawyer Bernard Miller were able to discredit Mr. Adams before the PUB. The man from Energy Probe has already made his mark.

His ongoing public attacks contributed to a change of opinion in New Brunswick that culminated in last month’s announcement that NB Power is to be broken into four companies and private investors sought for Coleson Cove and Point Lepreau.

Mr. Adams wasn’t the only person sounding the alarm about NB Power, but he was one of the only ones willing to speak publicly, particularly after June, 1999 when Norm Betts – another staunch critic – joined Bernard Lord’s cabinet and fell silent on NB Power’s fate.

 

Although he doubts the government will find a partner for Point Lepreau, Mr. Adams likes the idea of breaking the corporation up and the government’s continuing move towards wholesale energy competition.

The province took a major step towards that a few hours after Mr. Adams’ morning appearance, with its own event in Fredericton.

New Brunswick’s Market Design Committee – the group responsible for figuring out how the wholesale market will work – released its final report.

Its recommendations included setting aside a portion of the electricity produced in New Brunswick for customers either unwilling or unable to participate in a competitive marketplace.

This power, known as a heritage pool, will be the amount of power used by all NB Power customers in 1999, about 61 per cent of the maximum amount of power able to be produced in the province.

That heritage pool will be produced by NB Generation, which will sell it to the newly created NB Distribution at a price set by the government.

NB Distribution will then sell that power to consumers.

Any portion of the heritage pool not sold this way – known in energy parlance as a standard offer service – will be sold by NB Generation either through New Brunswick’s wholesale market or as an export to other provinces or the U.S.

The aim of the committee is to prepare NB Power for competition and ensure it does not have an unfair advantage over its competitors when the market opens next April.

They might get some ideas on how to accomplish that from a sobering report released yesterday in Washington.

The General Accounting Office, the investigative arm of the U.S. Congress, has concluded that the American regulatory body, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, remains ill-prepared to properly regulate and protect consumers from high electricity rates as the U.S.’s energy markets become increasingly competitive.

Of most interest to New Brunswick may be the report’s conclusion that FERC lacks adequate enforcement power to deter anticompetitive behaviour because it can’t impose meaningful penalties.

In a province where concern that one major corporation could dominate a market is never far from consumers’ minds, the Congressional study may stand as a warning of things to come if we fail to tread carefully as we venture down this deregulated path.

Posted in New Brunswick Power | Leave a comment

Lepreau shutdown could cause $70M hit

Bruce Bartlett
Saint John Telegraph-Journal
June 18, 2002

The economy of Southern New Brunswick would be devastated if the 700 jobs at the Point Lepreau Nuclear plant are eliminated, the Public Utilities Board heard Monday.

“I believe closing Lepreau, if they don’t refurbish, would have as big an impact on Saint John as if you closed both the pulp mills and the refinery,” said Ross Galbraith, representing the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers.

Closing the Lantic sugar refinery in Saint John created a huge outcry, but it employed only 20 per cent of the number of people working at Point Lepreau, he said.

If a natural gas plant is built to replace the nuclear plant it would only employ about 40 people. But the cost of running the gas plant would be about the same because of the higher cost of natural gas compared to nuclear fuel.

The big unknown in comparing the costs of the two alternatives is how much the price of natural gas will rise over the years.

“No one can predict with any certainty what those fuel costs could climb to, any more than we could predict 25 years ago what gasoline would be costing us today,” he said.

When the technology for combined cycle natural gas plants first came along it was highly praised. But since then demand for natural gas has risen and so has the price. The plans of many U.S. utilities to build gas-powered generators are now on hold, said Mr. Galbraith.

The jobs at Point Lepreau contribute $50 million annually into the economy. There are approximately 1,100 indirect jobs tied to the nuclear plant that pump an additional $20 million into the economy, he said.

Nuclear plants also have the advantage of not contributing to greenhouse gases. NB Power has produced 30 per cent of its electricity from nuclear power since 1983. If it had burned oil, it would have consumed 130 million barrels, he said.

The nuclear waste produced at Point Lepreau is all contained at the site and will eventually be stored somewhere by the federal government, he said.

“No one has yet figured out a way to dispose of the millions of tonnes of greenhouse gases that are pumped into the atmosphere by non-nuclear generating stations,” said Mr. Galbraith.

He also submitted a review of the project by Myron Gordon, an economist from the University of Toronto, who favours the nuclear option.

Mr. Gordon’s report rebuts several points made by Tom Adams of Energy Probe in Toronto, who is expected to give evidence today at the utilities board hearing.

Mr. Adams filed evidence with the board saying that NB Power has only paid down its debt by $74 million annually over the past seven years. Mr. Morton says financial statements show debt reduction was at $116 million per year.

Mr. Adams has also said a failed refit at the Pickering nuclear plants was the main cause of Ontario Hydro’s 1997 financial collapse.

Mr. Morton says both claims are false. The refit is proceeding with some delays and Ontario Hydro was starved of cash by the provincial government, which had decided to privatize it.

“The four reactors at Pickering A are now expected to start producing by the end of 2002 and the $1.9 billion investment in extending their life is still expected to be very profitable,” he wrote.

The hearing into the economics of refurbishing Point Lepreau is expected to wrap up this week. Intervenors are scheduled to sum up their arguments today after Mr. Adams presents his evidence.

 

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