Lawrence Solomon: Science getting settled

(August 27, 2011) New, convincing evidence indicates global warming is caused by cosmic rays and the sun — not humans.

The science is now all-but-settled on global warming, convincing new evidence demonstrates, but Al Gore, the IPCC, and other global warming doomsayers won’t be celebrating.  The new findings point to cosmic rays and the Sun– not human activities – as the dominant controller of climate on Earth.

The research, published with little fanfare this week in the prestigious journal Nature, comes from uber-prestigious CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, one of the world’s largest centres for scientific research involving 60 countries and 8000 scientists at more than 600 universities and national laboratories. CERN is the organization that invented the World Wide Web, that built the multi-billion dollar Large Hadron Collider, and that has now built a pristinely clean stainless steel chamber that precisely recreated the Earth’s atmosphere.

In this chamber, 63 CERN scientists from 17 European and American institutes have done what global warming doomsayers said could never be done – demonstrate that cosmic rays promote the formation of molecules that in Earth’s atmosphere can grow and seed clouds. The more that cosmic rays reach Earth’s atmosphere, the cloudier and thus cooler it will be. Because the Sun’s magnetic field controls how many cosmic rays reach Earth’s atmosphere (the stronger the Sun’s magnetic field, the more it shields Earth from incoming cosmic rays from space), the Sun determines the temperature on Earth.

The hypothesis that cosmic rays and the Sun hold the key to the global warming debate has been Enemy #1 to the global warming establishment ever since it was first proposed by two scientists from the Danish Space Research Institute, at a 1996 scientific conference in the UK.  Within one day, the Chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Bert Bolin, denounced the theory, saying “I find the move from this pair scientifically extremely naive and irresponsible.”  He then set about discrediting the theory, any journalist that gave the theory credence and most of all the Danes presenting the theory – they soon found themselves vilified, marginalized and starved of funding, despite their impeccable scientific credentials.

The mobilization to rally the press against the Danes worked brilliantly, with one notable exception. Nigel Calder, a former editor of The New Scientist who attended that 1996 conference, would not be cowed. Himself a physicist, Calder became convinced of the merits of the argument and a year later, following a lecture he gave at a CERN conference, so too did Jasper Kirkby, a CERN scientist in attendance. Kirkby then convinced the CERN bureaucracy of the theory’s importance and developed a plan to create a cloud chamber – he called it CLOUD, for “Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets.”

But Kirkby made the same tactical error that the Danes had — not realizing how politicized the global warming issue was, he candidly shared his views with the scientific community.

“The theory will probably be able to account for somewhere between a half and the whole of the increase in the Earth’s temperature that we have seen in the last century,” Kirkby told the scientific press in 1998, explaining that global warming may be part of a natural cycle in the Earth’s temperature.

The global warming establishment sprang into action, pressured the Western governments that control CERN, and almost immediately succeeded in suspending CLOUD.  It took Kirkby almost a decade of negotiation with his superiors, and who knows how many compromises and unspoken commitments, to convince the CERN bureaucracy to allow the project to proceed.  And years more to create the cloud chamber and convincingly validate the Danes’ groundbreaking theory.

Yet this spectacular success will be largely unrecognized by the general public for years – this column will be the first that most readers have heard of it – because CERN remains too afraid of offending its government masters to admit its success.  Weeks ago, CERN formerly decided to muzzle Kirby and other members of his team to avoid the highly political arena of the climate change debate,” telling them “to present the results clearly but not interpret them” and to downplay the results by “mak(ing) clear that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters.” The CERN study and press release is written in bureaucratese and the version of Kirkby’s study that appears in the print edition of Nature censored the most eye-popping graph – only those who know where to look in an online supplement will see the striking potency of cosmic rays in creating the conditions for seeding clouds.

CERN, and the Danes, have in all likelihood found the path to the Holy Grail of climate science. But the religion of climate science won’t yet permit a celebration of the find.

This article first appeared in the National Post.

Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe and Urban Renaissance Institute and author of The Deniers: The world-renowned scientists who stood up against global warming hysteria, political persecution, and fraud.

To see the striking graph that Nature withheld from the print edition, click here.

About Lawrence Solomon

Lawrence Solomon is one of Canada's leading environmentalists. His book, The Conserver Solution (Doubleday) popularized the Conserver Society concept in the late 1970s and became the manual for those interested in incorporating environmental factors into economic life. An advisor to President Jimmy Carter's Task Force on the Global Environment (the Global 2000 Report) in the late 1970's, he has since been at the forefront of movements to reform foreign aid, stop nuclear power expansion and adopt toll roads. Mr. Solomon is a founder and managing director of Energy Probe Research Foundation and the executive director of its Energy Probe and Urban Renaissance Institute divisions. He has been a columnist for The Globe and Mail, a contributor to the Wall Street Journal, the editor and publisher of the award-winning The Next City magazine, and the author or co-author of seven books, most recently The Deniers, a #1 environmental best-seller in both Canada and the U.S. .
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18 Responses to Lawrence Solomon: Science getting settled

  1. Tony says:

    Thanks for posting this information. Hopefully this will help to allow objective science to trump the flawed politically correct theory of global warming. Then we can get on with advancing science and not repeating the Malthusian error that the dogmatic advocate.

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  4. exdejesus says:

    Funny, the actual author of the actual paper disagrees with most everything you said.
    Lead Author: Paper “Says Nothing About” Effect Of Cosmic Rays On “Clouds And Climate.”
    read this and get back to me:

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  6. James Anderson Merritt says:

    From your description of the situation, I am reminded of the idea of plate tectonics, which was still being discussed as one of several competing theories about earthquakes and mountain formation in science textbooks that I studied in elementary school during the 1960s. Somewhere between then and the mid-1970s, the scientific community was swayed, and plate tectonics was taught as the dominant theory in this area of science. Perhaps a similar turning point has arrived, or is at least imminent, in the discussion of the sun and cosmic rays as dominant determinants of the earth’s climate. Perhaps in another 30 or 40 years, schoolchildren will read of the many follow-on experiments that firmly established this idea, helping us to see mankind’s contributions to climate in their proper perspective. I’d like to live long enough to see that.

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