Canada’s nuclear waste still a problem

Tom Adams
Globe and Mail
May 30, 2005

The Globe and Mail
Letter to the Editor

The Globe’s editorial “How to deal safely with nuclear waste” May 26, is overly hasty in declaring nuclear power’s problems solved.

The Nuclear Waste Management Organization (NWMO), an agency funded and controlled by the nuclear waste generators, which the Globe relied upon in its blanket nuclear endorsement, is substantially more cautious. To its credit, the NWMO report issued last week recognized “uncertainty about how the (proposed waste management) system will perform over the very long term because we cannot obtain advanced proof of actual performance over thousands of years.”

Parroting the nuclear industry’s favourite characterization of its waste – volume – the Globe claims that that the amount of waste is small. The volume of AIDS virus in the world is also small. Our nuclear waste volume is small but uniquely nasty. For example, as of 2001 the plutonium contained in Canada’s nuclear waste was approximately equal to about 12,000 Nagasaki bombs.

The lonely environmentalists the Globe points to as supporting nuclear power concentrate narrowly on carbon emissions disregarding the wide picture of costs and nuclear power’s negligible potential to reduce air pollution – most especially in the transportation sector, our largest air polluter.

Sincerely,
Tom Adams
Executive Director, Energy Probe

Note: The Globe and Mail editorial, “How to deal safely with nuclear waste,” is a subscription-only service provided by the Globe.

Posted in Nuclear Safety | Leave a comment

Pickering nuclear unit shut down for unanticipated repairs

April Lindgren
CanWest News Service
May 21, 2005

Eighteen months after it began producing electricity following a refurbishment that was years behind schedule and over budget, a key Pickering nuclear unit has been shutdown until July for unanticipated repairs.

The Unit 4 reactor, which the Ontario government is counting on to supply 500 megawatts of power throughout the summer, was taken out of service unexpectedly last month after Ontario Power Generation discovered problems with feeder pipes in another unit that is being refurbished.

“Based on the preliminary finding from the Pickering Unit 1 feeders, Unit 4 was conservatively shut down on April 2, to ensure that the feeders on that unit continued to meet the prescribed thickness,” OPG said in a May 12 submission to the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC). “Pickering Unit 4 will remain shutdown until inspections have been completed to determine the extent of the localized thinning, and the stress analysis to demonstrate fitness for service is reassessed.”

Unit 4 went into full service in September, 2003, after a retrofit that was almost two years behind schedule and much more costly than anticipated. OPG had planned to restart four idled reactors at Pickering by the end of 2000 at a total cost of $1.3-billion, but Unit 4 cost more than $1.2-billion on its own.

Feeder pipes supply and remove coolant for the pressure tubes that hold uranium bundles in CANDU reactors. The pipes are highly radioactive and their walls thin over time because of the fast-moving water that flows through them. High-tech ultrasound instruments are used to measure the thickness of the pipe walls to guard against leaks that would interfere with the cooling of the reactor.

While concern about the feeder pipes was enough to warrant the shutdown of Unit 4, OPG officials are downplaying its impact on the reliability of Ontario’s nuclear reactors and on plans to have the 500-megawatt Unit 1 reactor back in service by late September.

The provincial government is counting on both Unit 1 and the output from Unit 4 to help compensate for the 7,500 megawatts that will disappear when all the province’s polluting coal-fired plants are closed in 2007.

“The coal plants have traditionally been backup for the nuclear plants – that’s one of their important roles,” said Tom Adams, executive director of the watchdog group Energy Probe. “What we’re likely to see [as a result of the feeder pipe problems] are more inspections, more maintenance, more forced outages, higher costs and lower outputs.”

OPG vice-president of public affairs Chuck Pautler said the thinning of feeder pipes is a well-known phenomenon and something the utility constantly monitors.

Following the inspection of 140 feeder tubes at Unit 4, OPG decided to replace two of them, including one that was already scheduled to be replaced in September, he said. “That unit will be back in time for the hot days of the summer – by July,” Mr. Pautler said.

Posted in Towards Shutdown | Leave a comment

What happened to my electricity bill?

Tom Adams and Alfredo Bertolotti
Energy Probe
May 11, 2005

 

 

The results of this study were discussed in “Distribution adds the shock to electricity bills in Ontario” by Eric Reguly, published by the Globe and Mail on April 5, 2005. Mr. Reguly’s write-up led to an exchange of correspondence between a representative of the Ontario Energy Board and Energy Probe. The correspondence is reproduced below.

 

E-mail to: Reguly, Eric
Subject: distribution rates
From: Ontario Energy Board representative
Date: April 05/05

Eric,

We thought you’d be interested in this information given your column today.

It is not correct to state that a return of 9.88% was applied to 100% of the capital structure of the utility. In fact the allowed return for the utilities ranges between 7.88% and 8.54%. The 9.88% is applied only to the equity component of the capital structure. The Board established that equity component ranging from 35% to 50% depending on the size of the utility. The remainder is debt. The Board deemed the debt return to be 6.8% to 7.25%. Weighting the equity and debt components gives an allowed return of between 7.88% and 8.54%. The Board’s allowed returns are comparable with or lower than those allowed by other regulators in Canada and the U.S.

In 1998 government policy was to establish utilities as shareholding businesses. Guided by this policy and the need to balance a financially viable electricity industry with consumer interests, the Board established a reasonable return on the capital invested in distribution assets. The disposition of funds generated by that return is at the discretion of the shareholder. The issue of shareholders rights, whether the issue relates to private firms and such issues such as foreign investment; or public entities, and the relationship between the taxpayer and the corporation, are important. They are just not matters for an energy regulator’s consideration.

Prior to corporatisation an implicit subsidy from the taxpayer to the ratepayer existed. In a co-op (to use your analogy) there is an agreement among co-op members to lend their capital at generally lower rates than would be expected if the money had been invested otherwise. Presumably the co-op member believes that the lower return on his or her capital will be compensated by a lower cost for the product or service. The problem, of course, arises if the benefit does not accrue in proportion to the co-op member’s investment. In a grocery co-op the large volume shopper benefits more than the small – likewise in electricity. Since corporatisation taxpayers are no longer being asked to fund capital invested in distribution in the hope that as a ratepayer they receive an equal or equitable benefit via a lower electricity bill.

(OEB representative)


E-mail to: OEB representative and Eric Reguly
Subject: distribution rate reply
Author: Tom Adams, Energy Probe
Date: April 05/05

Your response to Mr. Reguly’s column “Distribution adds the shock to electricity bills in Ontario” in today’s Globe and Mail, (above) confuses the roles and responsibilities of consumers and taxpayers. I suggest that the response fails recognize the problem consumers face and the OEB’s role in the drastic increases.

You say: “Since corporatisation taxpayers are no longer being asked to fund capital invested in distribution.” This statement is incorrect. Prior to corporatization, neither provincial nor municipal taxpayers invested in municipal distribution. Rather, customers invested in distribution. It is only the logic of the OEB’s RP 1999-0034 and RP 2000-0069 decisions that awarded to municipal government the benefits flowing from investments made by customers.

Your letter attempts to dodge responsibility by claiming the sanctity of shareholders rights. Section 1 of the OEB’s mandating legislation requires the regulator to find a fair balance between the interests of consumers and shareholders. I submit to you that there is no fairness in allowing shareholders to earn a return on the investments of others, in this case former municipal electric utility customers.

Your comments on the distinction between return on equity and return are partly inaccurate and also partly true in a narrow sense but in the end miss the point. The Board allows Hydro One to recover some interest costs in distribution rates far above the range stated in your letter. While it is true that the LDCs other than Hydro One now use the deemed debt rate quoted in the letter, your letter didn’t mention any of the assets stripped away by the municipal parents, thereby raising the effective cost of capital borne by consumers. The regulator’s reassurance that the allowed overall return on capital is comparable with other utilities ignores the fact that the debt of the utilities and the equity claims of the “shareholders” have what might be described as a fictional origin.

From a customer perspective, the key characteristics of the pre-1998 situation were:

  • Consumers paid for distribution service through cost-based rates;
  • Due to legislative and regulatory strictures, the distribution utilities were overly conservative in their capital structure in that they operated without debt;
  • Distribution rates were high enough to recover annually the operating and capital budgets of the utilities, and;
  • The industrial structure of the sector, with 318 utilities, was inefficient.Consumers might reasonably have hoped that corporatization and the introduction of public regulation provided an opportunity for lower distribution rates. Instead, rate doubled.

    Except for market readiness costs and PILS to pay interest on old Hydro debt, which have some cost-based justification, customers got no improvement in service in return for the higher rates. It would be fair for you to note that municipalities enjoyed a gigantic windfall by virtue of the OEB’s decisions, and the net benefit of that windfall will have to be considered by others.

    Mr. Reguly has provided an excellent summary of the impact on consumers of OEB decisions. Rather than attacking him, I suggest that the OEB should recognize that customers have suffered drastic increases.

    In explaining its distribution rates decisions from the Year 2000 to consumers, the OEB might also reflect on the record of cynicism that appears to have guided those decisions. In September 1999, the OEB’s consultants at the RP 1999-0034 case who were proposing the peculiar MARR formation testified at a technical conference. When asked what would be an acceptable distribution rate increase, your consultant Mike King from the firm PHB Hagler Bailly testified, “It may very well be that consumers will object to the price increase, but at the same time one must also recognize that there is likely to be mass confusion in the market in any case as folks try to understand what has been done to the electric sector, and are in some senses unable to sort it out.” (RP 1999-0034 TR 2 p. 371 ll. 7-12)

    At the time, the OEB’s consultants argued that drastic distribution rate increases were mandated by the restructuring legislation. Energy Probe never accepted that interpretation of the legislation, but repeating such a justification would at least be historically accurate.

    Historically, the confusion of taxpayer and rate payer interests in Ontario’s electricity sector were part of the problem underlying the inability of the provincial government and its agencies from effectively managing Ontario Hydro. During the turmoil of the electricity reforms, what happened to distribution rates in the Year 2000 decisions was a carry-over of this confusion.

    I am sure you would agree that consumers might be interested in your letter. Unless you object, I would like to post your letter in its entirety without editorial comments on our site.

    Tom Adams, Energy Probe

 

Posted in Reforming Ontario's Local Electrical Distribution Sector | Leave a comment

Losing power

Tom Adams
National Post
April 15, 2005

Federal taxpayers are on the verge of acquiring a new and potentially massive burden – paying electricity bills for consumers in provinces with the country’s most mismanaged power systems.

New Brunswick Premier Bernard Lord, who oversees Canada’s biggest electricity embarrassment, NB Power, is today trolling Ottawa, seeking subsidies for renovating the trouble-prone Point Lepreau nuclear station. According to press reports, he has obtained qualified support from the prime minister and the endorsement of key figures in the Conservative caucus, including environment critic Bob Mills and MP John Duncan.

NB Power has grossly mismanaged its nuclear program, under-collecting the costs of operations and waste management from consumers. Nuclear headaches are only part of the province’s growing power crisis. NB Power just completed a billion-dollar renovation of an inefficient oil-fired station, only to discover that it had no signed contract with the sole-source supplier, Venezuela, for the exotic fuel the station was refitted to burn. Venezuela is now refusing to supply the fuel. With the nuclear station suffering premature ageing and its utility drowning in debt, Mr. Lord is telling consumers that without a federal bailout they face a rate shock.

Ontario’s experience with nuclear renovations show what a bottomless pit they are. The Pickering A station was renovated in the 1980s, was shut down for safety and financial reasons in the 1990s and is being renovated again. The cost overrun for the current renovation is about 340% and counting.

New Brunswick’s estimate for renovating its nuclear station has almost tripled to $1.4-billion, although the renovation is not scheduled to start for a couple of years. Mr. Lord has admitted the nuclear renovation can’t pay for itself – hence his plea to Ottawa.

Does Paul Martin think that Ontarians will deserve the same subsidies if he caves to New Brunswick? Even though Ontario has 16 reactors lined up to get the same renovations New Brunswick’s needs, he isn’t likely to say no, not now, when a federal election is in the offing and he stands to lose Ontario because of the sponsorship scandal. Neither is he likely to say no to Quebec, which likewise faces the same massive renovation at its reactor, and which is also critical to Mr. Martin’s reelection hopes. How could he deny Quebecers the right to equal subsidies in our federation?

The Liberal government’s recently announced Kyoto compliance plan proposes federal investment in an East-West electricity transmission grid. The arguments offered by the federal government show how far Ottawa will stretch to find a new excuse for spending. The government’s Kyoto plan points to the 1993 blackout that struck Ontario as justification for a national East-West grid without understanding the major lesson of the blackout: Its scale was caused by undue reliance on remote generating plants. Instead of relying more on local production and less on remote generators, however, a federal transmission initiative would have us increase our vulnerability to supply disruptions by making us more reliant on ever-more-distant power sources.

The most outspoken proponent of federal subsidies is the minister in charge of Ontario’s ongoing electricity crisis, Dwight Duncan. His solution to Ontario’s crisis is to develop new bureaucracies to administer the electricity whims of cabinet. With his announced bureaucracies and centralized power plans already slipping far behind schedule, he knows he is headed for blackouts and needs to have another level of government to blame when it happens.

Constitutionally, electricity is a provincial responsibility. The federal government has a legitimate role in policing the international environmental rules to which it agrees, but no legitimate role in redesigning power systems. A national electricity grid would be an unneeded, unwieldy and counterproductive creation of desperate politicians operating in the dark. It would also undermine fairness to federal taxpayers. Why should taxpayers in Alberta or Saskatchewan subsidize consumers in Ontario?

A minimum condition for an efficient power system is prices to consumers that reflect the full cost of production. If consumers don’t pay their own way, they will certainly consume more than they should. Federal subsidies to electricity thus artificially raise power consumption and force us to scramble to find new supplies. These are now coming from megaprojects that have historically tended to be financially risky and often unnecessary.

To make matters worse, these subsidies also reduce political accountability at the same time as they undermine the economy. Adding an additional layer of government involvement only further muddies the job that taxpayers have of figuring out who is responsible for what. When New Brunswickers have a problem with their power system in future, which level of government should they blame? You can be sure the federal and provincial governments will each be pointing the finger at the other.

Provincial power systems need competition, not subsidies. Competition would sort out the efficient producers from the inefficient and provide the dynamism needed to respond to changing business conditions. But instead of encouraging competition by allowing new entrants with fresh ideas into the electricity marketplace, the subsidies will have the opposite effect. They will all go to existing players, entrenching inefficient monopolies, keeping innovative, cheaper and often cleaner decentralized solutions out of the market, and all at taxpayers’ expense.

 

Posted in New Brunswick Power | Leave a comment

Losing power

Tom Adams
National Post
April 15, 2005

Federal taxpayers are on the verge of acquiring a new and potentially massive burden – paying electricity bills for consumers in provinces with the country’s most mismanaged power systems.

New Brunswick Premier Bernard Lord, who oversees Canada’s biggest electricity embarrassment, NB Power, is today trolling Ottawa, seeking subsidies for renovating the trouble-prone Point Lepreau nuclear station. According to press reports, he has obtained qualified support from the prime minister and the endorsement of key figures in the Conservative caucus, including environment critic Bob Mills and MP John Duncan.

NB Power has grossly mismanaged its nuclear program, under-collecting the costs of operations and waste management from consumers. Nuclear headaches are only part of the province’s growing power crisis. NB Power just completed a billion-dollar renovation of an inefficient oil-fired station, only to discover that it had no signed contract with the sole-source supplier, Venezuela, for the exotic fuel the station was refitted to burn. Venezuela is now refusing to supply the fuel. With the nuclear station suffering premature ageing and its utility drowning in debt, Mr. Lord is telling consumers that without a federal bailout they face a rate shock.

Ontario’s experience with nuclear renovations show what a bottomless pit they are. The Pickering A station was renovated in the 1980s, was shut down for safety and financial reasons in the 1990s and is being renovated again. The cost overrun for the current renovation is about 340% and counting.

New Brunswick’s estimate for renovating its nuclear station has almost tripled to $1.4-billion, although the renovation is not scheduled to start for a couple of years. Mr. Lord has admitted the nuclear renovation can’t pay for itself – hence his plea to Ottawa.

Does Paul Martin think that Ontarians will deserve the same subsidies if he caves to New Brunswick? Even though Ontario has 16 reactors lined up to get the same renovations New Brunswick’s needs, he isn’t likely to say no, not now, when a federal election is in the offing and he stands to lose Ontario because of the sponsorship scandal. Neither is he likely to say no to Quebec, which likewise faces the same massive renovation at its reactor, and which is also critical to Mr. Martin’s reelection hopes. How could he deny Quebecers the right to equal subsidies in our federation?

The Liberal government’s recently announced Kyoto compliance plan proposes federal investment in an East-West electricity transmission grid. The arguments offered by the federal government show how far Ottawa will stretch to find a new excuse for spending. The government’s Kyoto plan points to the 1993 blackout that struck Ontario as justification for a national East-West grid without understanding the major lesson of the blackout: Its scale was caused by undue reliance on remote generating plants. Instead of relying more on local production and less on remote generators, however, a federal transmission initiative would have us increase our vulnerability to supply disruptions by making us more reliant on ever-more-distant power sources.

The most outspoken proponent of federal subsidies is the minister in charge of Ontario’s ongoing electricity crisis, Dwight Duncan. His solution to Ontario’s crisis is to develop new bureaucracies to administer the electricity whims of cabinet. With his announced bureaucracies and centralized power plans already slipping far behind schedule, he knows he is headed for blackouts and needs to have another level of government to blame when it happens.

Constitutionally, electricity is a provincial responsibility. The federal government has a legitimate role in policing the international environmental rules to which it agrees, but no legitimate role in redesigning power systems. A national electricity grid would be an unneeded, unwieldy and counterproductive creation of desperate politicians operating in the dark. It would also undermine fairness to federal taxpayers. Why should taxpayers in Alberta or Saskatchewan subsidize consumers in Ontario?

A minimum condition for an efficient power system is prices to consumers that reflect the full cost of production. If consumers don’t pay their own way, they will certainly consume more than they should. Federal subsidies to electricity thus artificially raise power consumption and force us to scramble to find new supplies. These are now coming from megaprojects that have historically tended to be financially risky and often unnecessary.

To make matters worse, these subsidies also reduce political accountability at the same time as they undermine the economy. Adding an additional layer of government involvement only further muddies the job that taxpayers have of figuring out who is responsible for what. When New Brunswickers have a problem with their power system in future, which level of government should they blame? You can be sure the federal and provincial governments will each be pointing the finger at the other.

Provincial power systems need competition, not subsidies. Competition would sort out the efficient producers from the inefficient and provide the dynamism needed to respond to changing business conditions. But instead of encouraging competition by allowing new entrants with fresh ideas into the electricity marketplace, the subsidies will have the opposite effect. They will all go to existing players, entrenching inefficient monopolies, keeping innovative, cheaper and often cleaner decentralized solutions out of the market, and all at taxpayers’ expense.

Posted in New Brunswick Power | Leave a comment

Kyoto plan criticized for huge costs

Paul Vieira
National Post
April 15, 2005

Ottawa: One of Canada’s leading electricity experts has lambasted suggestions in the Kyoto plan about the federal government helping to finance construction of a coast-to-coast transmission grid as a way to deliver clean energy.

Such a scheme poses risks to Canadians in delivering reliable service. Moreover, it is “grossly unfair” because it would cost taxpayers tens of billions in tax dollars to benefit mostly Ontario.

“This is just silly,” said Tom Adams, executive director of Energy Probe, a national energy and environmental watchdog. “The government is living in an Alice in Wonderland world, where front is back and back is front.”

Mr. Adams was not the only individual yesterday to debunk the Liberal government’s $10-billion Kyoto plan, which has been widely panned for its price tag, vagueness and lack of detail.

Thomas d’Aquino, president of the Canadian Council of Chief Executives, said the Kyoto plan will impose “huge costs on taxpayers and will fail to meet its goals.” As a result, he warned of “serious consequences” for the economy, jobs and consumers, and urged the Liberal government to undertake some “sober second thought” before pursuing its climate-change strategy.

Mr. Adams’ criticism stems from elements in the government’s Kyoto plan, entitled Project Green, that envisages a number of strategic investments aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. One of those is a east-to-west transmission grid that would deliver electricity produced from hydro dams across the country.

Among the Cabinet ministers who have toyed with such a grid are Stephane Dion, the Environment Minister, and Ralph Goodale, the Finance Minister.

The Ontario government has also been one of the biggest proponents, largely because it has power supply problems. Moreover, it has pledged to shut down its coal-fired plants by the end of next year as a way to cut carbon dioxide output.

But Mr. Adams said a coast-to-coast grid is a misguided initiative that will cost tens of billions. Also, he noted there is a dubious history of government-led electricity megaprojects because the majority run over budget and fail to meet expectations.

The current grid structure in Canada is mostly north-south since most of the population lives near the U.S. border. North-south transmission connections ensure the availability of imports from the United States, and give provinces the chance to export excess power to neighbouring U.S. states.

“A shift of the grid to east-west would probably reduce reliability,” Mr. Adams warned, noting electricity loses its charge the longer it is forced to travel. “We will be making consumers more exposed to the inherent weaknesses of long-distance transportation of electricity.”

Mr. Adams noted Ontario and New Brunswick are the ones pushing hardest for the east-west grid.

“They are looking for federal bailouts of their electricity systems because these jurisdictions are the most mismanaged electricity systems in the country,” Mr. Adams said. “If the federal government takes on responsibility for fixing these problems, they create a major fairness problem for taxpayers in other parts of country.”

 

Posted in Costs, Benefits and Risks | Leave a comment

Distribution adds the shock to electricity bills in Ontario

Eric Reguly
The Globe and Mail
April 5, 2005

Reading an electricity bill requires the skill of an accountant. In Ontario, there are two commodity charges. There are also regulatory, debt retirement and delivery charges. Sometimes you wonder how small electricity price hikes – Ontario last month approved an increase of about 4.4 per cent – seem to translate into huge bill increases. But it’s confusing and you just pay the damn thing because Desperate Housewives is on.

If you could be bothered to figure it out, you’d be in for a surprise. Electricity is a bargain. If you live in Ontario, what’s killing you is the distribution charge (which is buried in the “delivery” charge on your bill). That’s the amount you pay to the local utility to deliver the juice the last few kilometres into your home. Those prices have been rising at rates that would make your gasoline retailer envious. A report just published by Tom Adams and Alfredo Bertolotti of Energy Probe explains just how thoroughly the government and the regulator botched the distribution charge file.

Energy Probe examined household electricity bills in 10 Ontario urban regions going back to 1998 (more on the significance of that date in a moment). Since then, the total bill in each region has gone up between 27 per cent (Oshawa, at the low end) to 41 per cent (Aurora). That doesn’t mean the electricity prices went up that much. Distribution charges, which account for roughly a quarter of a bill, have been the main driver. They have climbed between 67 per cent (Toronto) and 156 per cent (Aurora, again). Ontario, once known for its low energy prices, is now known for high prices by Canadian standards.

Enersource, the new name for the old Mississauga Hydro, is a middle-of-the-pack example. In 1998, you would have paid $11.15 a month in distribution charges, assuming you were typical user. Now, you’re paying $23.08.

You might feel better if you knew the higher fees were being used to overhaul all the wires and poles and towers that make up your local distribution network. While some work is being done, the truth is most of the increase is simply sucked into city coffers to be spent at council’s whim.

It wasn’t always this way. In 1998, Ontario had 318 local distribution utilities. They essentially operated as co-ops on behalf of customers. The vast majority had little or no debt; some were flush with cash. They paid no dividends and no taxes. They were off the radar screen. The Tories fixed that. They argued the co-op structure was a barrier to efficiency gains. If the utilities were converted into proper companies, they could merge, cut overhead costs and borrow long-term money to finance long-term assets.

The municipalities couldn’t have been happier with the idea.

The utilities came under municipal ownership – gratis – and city councils cleaned out the cash sitting on the utilities’ books, about $1-billion in total. That was the first windfall. The second came when the Ontario Energy Board gave the utilities a regulated rate of return on equity. The figure was 9.88 per cent. Since the utilities’ capital structures were 100 per cent equity, or close to it, the returns were spectacular. As the distribution charges soared, the OEB backed down, but only somewhat. Hasty new legislation allowed the rate increases to be phased in over several years (for almost all the utilities, the last of the big increases came last Friday).

Distribution charges, as a result, have risen far faster than other electricity charges. Ontario, once known for its low energy prices, is now known for high prices by Canadian standards. Too bad there’s virtually nothing that can be done about the fat distribution fees. The municipalities that own the utilities would never want to give up their cash windfall, especially since many of them, such as Toronto, have distressed budgets. Returning the utilities to their former co-op status would be politically and financially messy. At best, the regulators and the politicians will look at the outsized distribution charge increases and prevent them from happening again.

Ontario has been in non-stop electricity upheaval since the late 1990s. Ontario Hydro was split up to form Ontario Power Generation and Hydro One. The electricity market was opened by the Tories, then slammed shut. Hydro One’s privatization was cancelled. OPG ousted its CEO after horrendous cost overruns on its nuclear plant repair jobs. There was a blackout and several near blackouts. Some of the problems could not be avoided. Others could have been, and distribution hikes were one of them. In a world of rising electricity prices, there was no need to add to consumers’ pain by allowing distribution charges to be jacked up so high.

 

Posted in Reforming Ontario's Local Electrical Distribution Sector | 1 Comment

Remember the Great Blackout of 2003?

Tom Adams
Energy Probe
March 23, 2005

Although the spark that set off that calamity didn’t occur in Ontario, we were the hardest hit because our power system had been weakened by neglect. It has only gotten worse in the last two years. The stage is set for another massive blackout, this time made in Ontario. Parts of our power transmission and distribution networks are so dilapidated, a strong wind could knock out some of our electricity lifelines.

Much of the high voltage system Ontario’s consumers depend on today was built before the Second World War and should have been replaced a generation ago. In fact, some transmission system components predate the end of First World War.

The deplorable state of our power system, and its potential danger to us, is well known to the power authorities. Just before its 1997 financial collapse, Ontario Hydro prepared an internal report, called “Transmission Network Asset Condition Assessment,” warning starkly:

As the condition of these lines is allowed to deteriorate, beyond their useful life, without any remedy, the exposure to these safety hazards will increase and public safety will be compromised.

This report proved to be prophetic. Many of the Hydro towers that collapsed during the 1998 ice storm were built in the 1920s. Had our system been properly maintained all along, Ontarians would have been spared much of the extreme hardships from that calamity, too.

Since Ontario Hydro conducted its internal report, Ontario’s electricity regulator, the Ontario Energy Board, has failed to take needed action. While the Board in 1999 ordered Ontario Hydro’s successor, Hydro One, to immediately develop a plan to restore the transmission system, the regulator never followed up. Our transmission system continues to age. It’s now 57 years old on average.

How could Ontario Hydro, Hydro One, and the provincial government allow our transmission system to deteriorate on such a vast scale? For decades, Ontario Hydro’s political appointees diverted money that should have been spent on routine refurbishment to grandiose nuclear and coal projects.

Similar problems haunt Ontario at the local level, where much of the local utilities’ infrastructure is inefficient and unsafe – including in Toronto, the province’s wealthiest city. Many municipalities rely on obsolete low-voltage systems that increase line losses arising from electrical resistance, particularly in summer, during the air conditioning season when Ontario’s generation capacity is most severely stressed. If extreme temperatures come in the coming few months, our system may not be able to bear it.

Ontario must make every reasonable effort to avoid another Great Blackout – as you’ll recall, not only were our homes and businesses in jeopardy but so, too, was our health care system and our water supply – Toronto and other areas had all but run out of drinking water, despite the rationing that was taking place.

To catch up for years of neglect, we need a crash program to rehabilitate our transmission system. Earlier this month, Energy Probe submitted a report (available at www.energyprobe.org) highlighting the need for urgent action to Premier Dalton McGuinty and Energy Minister Dwight Duncan. We invite you to write to them as well – these leaders bear responsibility for ensuring our power system’s reliability. Ask them why they are not keeping our grids up to date and if you’re unhappy with their answers, please forward them to me. Together, we’ll keep our officials accountable and have the secure energy system Ontarians deserve.

Yours truly,

Tom Adams
Executive Director

Posted in Nuclear Safety | Leave a comment

Flying windmills

Lawrence Solomon
National Post
March 19, 2005

Don’t like fossil fuels? Nuclear power? Hydro dams? Go fly a kite. Really. The next great energy technology may well involve implausible-sounding machines called Flying Electric Generators, windmills 30,000 feet high and tethered to the ground by power lines.

No pollution. No greenhouse gases. No hazard to birds. Enough energy to meet the world’s needs many times over. And costs that are projected at one to two cents a kilowatt hour, far less than that of existing fuels.

These windmills would capture the plentiful power in the strong, steady winds that blow in the jet stream.

The visionaries floating these ideas are no crackpots. Inventor Bryan Roberts, an Australian engineer with a PhD from Cambridge who teaches at the University of Western Sydney, has a long history of getting inventions off the ground, including a tethered four-rotor helicopter built under a collaborative agreement with Bell Helicopters’ Australian agents. David Shepard, co-CEO with Roberts of Sky WindPower Corporation, the machine’s corporate developer, patented the optical scanner in the 1950s and then formed a company that sold the world’s first commercial OCR (optical character recognition) scanners, now at the Smithsonian Institute. Others at Sky WindPower, a San Diego-based corporation, also have impressive practical accomplishments in the corporate and military spheres to complement their flights of fancy.

The flying wind generator, drawing power from the local electric company through its tether, uses helicopter-like rotors to climb skyward and GPS technology to keep its bearings. Once at its desired altitude, the generator drifts in the wind while the rotors generate electricity and send power down the same tether that had powered its ascent. When it needs to come down to Earth, the flying machine can either come down on its own power, as helicopters do, or be winched in.

Sky WindPower plans to raise clusters of these aircraft – perhaps 600 at a time – above lands not far from metropolitan centres. Each cluster would have a capacity of 12,000 megawatts – equivalent to roughly 24 Pickering-sized nuclear reactors – and produce 90 million megawatt-hours a year – 25% more than those 20 Pickering plants would produce. Two of these clusters could more than meet Ontario’s entire power needs; seven Canada’s, not that it would ever be necessary or desirable to eliminate all other electricity technologies.

On land, the flying wind generator’s requirement is negligible. Floating above forests or farmers’ fields, the tethers would cost next to nothing in land or agricultural production while providing farmers with a bit of revenue for the use of their land. If a flying generator ever fell from the sky, as would be inevitable, it would crash in an unpopulated area and so represent minimal threat to human safety.

Above land, there is a cost – airplanes would need to be excluded from these areas, to avoid collisions with the flying generators or their tethers. But there is nothing new here. At 15 sites along the U.S.-Mexico border, the U.S. government for decades has tethered balloons carrying radar equipment to detect illegal flights by drug smugglers. These sites, which occur at altitudes up to 15,000 feet, appear on aeronautical charts and are well known to pilots, who in any case routinely deal with restricted air space. Sky WindPower calculates that less than one-quarter of 1% of U.S. airspace would need to be reserved, all away from populated areas, to meet all U.S. energy needs. That is far less than the amount of air space now restricted to civilian aviation.

Flying windmills have many advantages over their land-based counterparts which, because of factors such as contours of the land and daily heating and cooling patterns, often face either inadequate wind or turbulent winds, necessitating expensive designs. No such impediments occur in the jet stream, where air moves near-constantly and at several times the speed that it does at 100 feet off the ground, allowing much more energy to be captured from each square meter of wind.

While the wind blows well almost everywhere in the world, Canada is especially suited to flying turbines. The very best winds, 30,000 feet up, happen to blow along the Canada-U.S. border, where most of our population resides. At Montreal, Toronto, Windsor, Winnipeg or Regina, or Vancouver, a flying windmill will typically operate at 85% to 90% of its full capacity, about 50% higher than at many lower latitudes – and also higher than at more northerly latitudes. The skies above Gagetown, N.B., where a windmill would operate at 92% of its capacity, has one of the world’s best-recorded wind readings.

Roberts first began working on his concept in 1979. He has successfully flown prototypes in wind tunnels and in the sky. Sky WindPower now wants to scale up – its next prototype is designed and has the government permissions necessary for it to be tested in the California desert. It awaits only the $3-million needed to proceed.

Will investors take a flyer on this technology? So far, the big boys have stayed away, and for understandable reason. The smart money is moving to Arctic pipelines, nuclear plants, tar sands, LNG facilities and other government-subsidized energy systems that are with us in a big way only because government decrees it. The world’s energy entrepreneurs have all vanished, aside from a small band tilting at windmills in the sky.

Posted in Energy Probe News, Renewables | Leave a comment

Waiting for the Storm: Ontario’s Deteriorating Tranmission and Distribution Assets and the Privatization Alternative

Tom Adams

March 7, 2005

Report on the deteriorating state of Ontario’s power distribution and transmission infrastructure. The report was originally released in 2005.

Click here for a PDF.

Posted in Electricity, Reforming Ontario's Electrical Generation Sector, Reforming Ontario's Local Electrical Distribution Sector | Leave a comment