Aldyen Donnelly: British Columbia gets GHG regulation all wrong

It appears that British Columbia is also blowing it with the GHG reporting rule that the province announced recently. But the BC and Ontario rules, as proposed, are quite different and blow it in quite different ways. As a starting point, the fact that the two leading provincial members of the Western Climate Initiative clearly cannot agree on a common GHG reporting standard is a pretty bad sign.

The GHG reporting threshold is 10,000 under the BC reporting rule that was announced last week, as well as in the climate change bills under consideration in Congress right now. Under the existing US EPA reporting regulation (which became law last September) there is a general reporting threshold of 25, 000 TCO2e, but all operators have to report all facility GHGs (i.e. there is no threshold) if:

  • they have the capacity to generate or co-generate, more than 25 MW of power (regardless what their GHG levels are),
  • they are already obliged to report SO2 or NOx emissions under Title VI or Title V of the Clean Air Act (all power generation and industrial sectors), or
  • if they are oil refineries, aluminum smelters, produce industrial chemicals or iron and steel.

Note, as well, that affected parties in the US have to count both their production emissions and emissions that will be discharged at the point of consumer end-use of the products they sell—not just the emissions that are released from their plants—to determine whether or not they meet the reporting threshold test.

Finally, the existing US GHG law obliges any entity that imports (but does not domestically produce) any of the regulated carbon intensive energy and commodities to report foreign supply chain GHGs to the US EPA—as if those GHGs occurred within the US boundaries—if the foreign supply chain plus US consumption GHGs arising from the consumption of those imports exceed 25,000 TCO2e/year.

So the GHG reporting thresholds and inventory coverage in the existing US GHG reporting law are much, much, much more stringent than those Ontario recently introduced. For this reason, the US will have a sound legal basis on which to discriminate against any Ontario GHG allowances or credits, and or any Ontario exports of the regulated products, even if Ontario’s cap and trade laws prove entirely consistent with all other aspects of final US cap and trade law.

Before the GHG reporting were made law, every power generation and manufacturing plant that was already covered by Titles VI and V of the US Clean Air Act was obliged to report the following data to the US EPA, which reporting obligation continues:

  • fuel consumption, by fuel type, by energy value by combustion unit, industrial process or stack, for every covered plant
  • name of manufacturer and date of installation of every unit of emission or energy control technology and all combustion and fuel storage equipment.

If Ontario or any other Canadian province collects only GHG emission data and fails to collect fuel use and equipment data (which the US EPA deems essential for cost-effective verification and enforcement of emission standards), the US EPA will elect not to accept any GHG allowance, offset credit or REC originating in those provinces as compliance units under any US cap and trade rule.

In this regard, the US EPA will operate consistently as it has in respect to Ontario’s NOx and SO2 cap and trade rules for the last 11 years. As you know, Ontario allows Ontario regulated entities to surrender US NOx and SO2 allowances as compliance units under the provincial NOx and SO2 caps, but the US still does not allow US regulated entities to surrender Ontario-issued NOx and SO2 allowances. I would hope that Ontario’s NOx and SO2 market experience to date will inform Ontario’s final GHG reporting rule-making.

To sell Ontario energy and goods, let alone GHG allowances or credits into the US, the US will demand that Ontario collect the same fuel use and operating data.

Also, be very careful to define "reporting facility" and reporting boundaries precisely in any final regulation.  In BC, the pollutant and GHG reports currently filed by three similar coal production operations differ by +/- 200%.  That is because the existing provincial and federal definitions of "reporting facility" and boundaries are either vague or, where they are not vague (in the provincial permitting context) they differ. So the emission reports from these otherwise similar operations are not comparable.  

If/when the US can prove this to be true, they—again—have a sound legal argument for discriminating against our exports and our emission quota instruments.

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Various Veins: Thinking about monarchy

(Dec. 2, 2009), There is nothing like a royal visit to get Canadians excited. Continue reading

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Is there an endless supply of oil?

(Dec. 2, 2009) In doing some research on my modest energy investments, I came across a link that led me to a website called Energy Probe where I discovered a very interesting article entitled Endless Oil by Canadian environmentalist, Lawrence Solomon, which if true, could cause anti-fossil fuel Greens to turn hotly red. Continue reading

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Various Veins: Thinking about monarchy

Ross Andrews
The Tillsonburg News
December 2, 2009

There is nothing like a royal visit to get Canadians excited. The full colour photo of Tillsonburg chefs Jonathon and Cynthia Collins talking with Prince Charles on Page 1 of last Wednesday’s Tillsonburg Independent News gave us a sense of pride, didn’t it?

Canadians have very different ideas about the monarchy. Those who think monarchy is archaic perhaps outnumber those who consider themselves to be loyal subjects of the Queen.

Andrew Coyne, national editor of MacLean’s, did a fine job of reminding us why the Queen is important in the government of Canada.

It’s hard to convince people that Canada is not ruled by the Queen of England and so still a colony. The highest court of appeal in political matters is no longer the Privy Council of the House of Lords in Britain. It is the Supreme Court in Ottawa although the not withstanding clause gives our parliament the last word. Queen Elisabeth II is the Queen of Canada and the Queen of England. These are separate offices.

Coyne points out the fact that Canada has been ruled by monarchs since 1534, nine French and nine English. Prince Charles will be our nineteenth King of Canada.

The powers of the person who wears the crown have changed gradually down the centuries. King Louis XIV took a very personal interest in his Canadian subjects. He sent young women from France to be wives of settlers, calling them The King’s daughters.

Parliaments created Magna Carta and other constitutional acts to protect the people from the power of the monarch. Today the Queen or her representative in Canada is the last one to protect Canadians from a parliament that gets too uppity. Last year when politicians tried to oust the government and replace it with a coalition it was the governor general who exercized those powers. Many who have little knowledge of constitutional powers in this country criticized her.

The Queen has a great deal of influence beyond constitutional powers. Last week she urged leaders of the Commonwealth to work together to help control climate change. Did that have something to do with the announcement that some sort of agreement has been reached? Even Steven Harper indicated some sort of change of heart, hedged by reminders that it is by no means a done deal.

In this particular instance it’s to be hoped the Queen hasn’t fallen for the machinations of opportunists who see ways of funneling tax dollars into private pockets. We need to listen to Lawrence Solomon and Lorrie Goldstein. Even crusty Michael Corren is warning about "Climategate" as the Copenhagen conference draws nearer.

Some Canadians resent the money spent on royal visits. Political cartoonists have a ball with this. In a world where tourism is a major source of money we should remember the money spent on the visits stays in Canada and provides income for many people, even political cartoonists. People who are paid for serving the royals spend the money and as it percolates through the economy each dollar is multiplied several times.

Some people are calling for a resident monarch living in Canada and wearing only one crown. Choose a member of the royal family and start a new line of succession, sort of like slipping a geranium and putting it into a new pot. As Andrew Coyne wrote, changing the monarchy for a republic would require a revolution because of the convoluted way monarchy is woven into the constitution. Even splitting off a clone of the crown would be tough.

As an example of how the Crown fits into the rule of law, our police officers carry the Queen’s warrant. They do not swear allegiance to any politician and that is a great comfort to us who read about warlords with private armies in other countries or elected sheriffs in the USA.

When you think about it, how could we be better served by a resident ruler when the one we have lives on the far side of an ocean and only pays occasional visits?

Do we really want a Louis XIV living amongst us?

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Radiation

At high doses, radiation kills. Of this there is no scientific dispute. But scientific dispute does lie at low exposures to radiation.

There are two competing theories about the effects of low-level radiation.

Under the Linear No-Threshold model, the risk of contracting cancer is proportional to the exposure. The more radiation, the greater the risk, the less radiation, the lower the risk. Under this model, there is no absolutely safe level of radiation, only reduced risk.  

Under the Hormesis model, at very low doses radiation is actually beneficial to human and animal health, lowering risk of not only cancers but other causes of mortality. The hormesis model, which is gaining currency in scientific circles, only applies to low doses. At high doses, the LNT and Hormesis models converge.

Energy Probe has historically accepted the LNT model as the more prudent one on which to base our regulatory systems for radiation. Because new evidence is emerging in radiation safety, we will be investigating both sides of this debate.

Links

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Is there an endless supply of oil?

Russ Vaughn
American Thinker
December 2, 2009

In doing some research on my modest energy investments, I came across a link that led me to a website called Energy Probe where I discovered a very interesting article entitled Endless Oil by Canadian environmentalist, Lawrence Solomon, which if true, could cause anti-fossil fuel Greens to turn hotly red.

According to Solomon, there is new evidence to support Russian and Ukranian geological scientists who are convinced that the time-honored and universally-taught belief that petroleum deposits are derived exclusively from long-dead plants and dinosaurs is about as scientifically sound as the concept of Anthropogenic Global Warming.

Rather, they say, hydrocarbons may be developed in an abiotic process by the high temperatures and huge pressures existing far below the earth’s 25 mile deep mantle, some 40 to 95 miles beneath our feet. This theory, first proposed in 1877 by Mendeleev, inventor of the periodic table (which should vouch for his scientific credentials) has been widely accepted by Russian/Ukranian earth scientists since the early 1950’s. According to this abiogenic theory, existing pools of petroleum are being continually replenished and new ones being created as newly-formed hydrocarbons migrate upward through cracks in the mantle.

While the concept has had little past support in the West, an article published in the July issue of Nature Geoscience, co-authored by the Geophysical Laboratory of the Carnegie Institution in Washington, the  Lomonosov State Academy of Fine Chemical Technology in Moscow and the Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm, reports research that indicates this process is scientifically viable.

In other words, the world itself may be the world’s largest oil producer in an ongoing natural process. If these scientists are right, rather than running out of oil as the doomsayers loudly proclaim, we may have an endless supply.

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Lawrence Solomon: Climategate’s aftermath: Australia ditches cap and trade

Emboldened following the Climategate scandal, the Liberal opposition in Australia’s parliament threw out its pro-Kyoto leader yesterday and then today, under the leadership of global warming skeptic Tony Abbott, voted down the government’s plan to pass cap and trade legislation. The proposed legislation, intended to be a feather in the cap of Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd prior to his departure for climate change meetings in Copenhagen, failed by a vote of 41 to 33 in the Senate, Australia’s upper house.

Despite speculation that Rudd would call a snap election on the issue – a threat some expected him to take up because polls show him to be a favourite over his opposition – a cautious Rudd declined to risk an election against his new adversary, a conservative who pledges to oppose any tax on carbon.

The government’s proposed Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme, which faced fierce opposition from industry and agriculture, aimed to cut greenhouse gas emissions by up to 25% from 2000 levels by 2020.

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A skeptical public

(Dec. 1, 2009) To kick off tonight’s Munk debate on climate change, the CBC invited Energy Probe’s Executive Director Lawrence Solomon and Dale Marshall, a climate change policy analyst for the David Suzuki Foundation, to answer questions from the public on the climate change debate. Continue reading

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Request to provide information on DOE’s decision not to publish the 1991 Final Report of the Nuclear Shipyard Worker Study

Energy Probe

December 1, 2009

Energy Probe Research Foundation
225 Brunswick Avenue, Toronto, ON, M5S 2M6
Phone: (416) 964-9223 Fax: (416) 964-8239

December 1, 2009

Freedom of Information Act Officer
U.S. Department of Energy
1000 Independence Avenue, SW
Washington, DC 20585

Re: Information on DOE’s decision not to publish the 1991 Final Report of the Nuclear Shipyard Worker Study (NSWS)

To Whom It May Concern:

Please provide information on the DOE’s decision not to publish the 1991 Final Report of the Nuclear Shipyard Worker Study (NSWS) performed by the School of Public Health of Johns Hopkins University under a contract with DOE. More specifically, I am requesting documents under the Freedom of Information Act created in the period between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 1992.

I respectfully request a waiver or reduction of all costs associated with fulfilling this request. Disclosure of the requested information is likely to contribute “significantly” to the public understanding of government operations or activities. This request is made for scientific purposes and not for the commercial use of the requester, Energy Probe Research Foundation.

Please send information electronically or by mail to the provided email and mail addresses.

Thank you for your consideration of this request. I may be contacted by phone or email provided below to discuss any aspects of my request.

Sincerely,

Lawrence Solomon
Executive Director
Energy Probe Research Foundation
Phone: (416) 964-9223 ext 241
Email: larry.at.large@gmail.com

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A skeptical public

Energy Probe

December 1, 2009

To kick off tonight’s Munk debate on climate change, the CBC invited Energy Probe’s Executive Director Lawrence Solomon and Dale Marshall, a climate change policy analyst for the David Suzuki Foundation, to answer questions from the public on the climate change debate.

Surprisingly, many of the questions received by Mr. Solomon and Mr. Marshall were skeptical of the conventional wisdom that global warming is a serious threat to our society.

Tonight’s debate couldn’t come at a more interesting time for both supporters and skeptics of climate change. Last week a hacker stole vital climate change information from servers at the University of East Anglia in England. What the stolen information reportedly shows is that scientists who support the climate change theory appear to have doctored information and quashed dissent in order to support their ideas. Bloggers are now referring to the incident as “Climategate”.

To read the response to the questions, click here.

To read his most recent column, “Google’s climate ‘scholars’ ” in the Financial Post, click here.

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